News

Elizabeth Gilbert

Apr 23, 2024

Soybean Prices: Mixed Trends in Brazil and Chicago as the Week Begins

Soybean Prices: Mixed Trends in Brazil and Chicago as the Week Begins

The soybean market witnessed contrasting trends at the start of the week, influenced by geopolitical tensions in the Black Sea and dry weather conditions in the Northern Hemisphere. While wheat prices faced a downward trend, soybean prices experienced a rise, albeit with some challenges.

Soybean Prices in Brazil

In Brazil, soybean prices were predominantly higher due to the favorable performance of futures contracts in Chicago. However, the retreat of the dollar prevented a uniform upward trend, leading to mixed movements in prices. Market analysis from Safras & Mercado revealed various price changes across regions:
  • Passo Fundo (RS): Decreased from 124 R$ to 123 R$
  • Tasks Area: Decreased from 123 R$ to 122 R$
  • Rio Grande Port: Increased from 129.50 R$ to 130.50 R$
  • Cascavel (PR): Increased from 122 R$ to 123 R$
  • Paranaguá Port (PR): Increased from 128.50 R$ to 130.50 R$
  • Rondonópolis (MT): Increased from 115 R$ to 116 R$
  • Dourados (MS): Remained stable at 116 R$
  • Rio Verde (GO): Increased from 114 R$ to 115 R$

Soybean Prices in Chicago

Meanwhile, soybean futures contracts traded on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) closed higher on Monday. The positive performance of neighboring markets, particularly wheat, supported the recovery of oilseed prices. Despite the prevailing negative scenario for prices, the global financial environment's improvement contributed to a more optimistic outlook.

Market Dynamics

Geopolitical tensions in the Black Sea and dry weather conditions in the Northern Hemisphere have pushed wheat prices up by nearly 5%, indirectly impacting soybean prices. However, the soybean market faces challenges amidst fluctuating export figures. According to a weekly report by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), soybean export inspections for North America totaled 435,256 tons in the week ending April 18, a decrease from the previous week's 620,139 tons.

Futures Contracts

Soybean contracts for May delivery closed at $11.61 per bushel, up by 10.50 cents or 0.91%. The July position saw a gain of 10.75 cents or 0.92%, closing at $11.76 1/2 per bushel. Additionally, July soybean meal contracts closed at $344.80 per ton, up by $1.60 or 0.46%. In the petroleum market, contracts ending in May closed at 45.668 cents per barrel, up by 0.72 cents or 1.6%.

Currency and Conclusion

The trading session for the Brazilian real concluded with a 0.57% decrease, trading at 5.1692 R$ for selling and 5.1672 R$ for buying. Throughout the day, the North American currency fluctuated between a minimum of 5.1682 R$ and a maximum of 5.2180 R$. As the week progresses, market participants will closely monitor geopolitical developments and weather forecasts for further insights into soybean price movements.
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