Lower-Than-Expected Rapeseed Yields

Romania is facing lower-than-expected rapeseed yields and production due to adverse weather conditions. Experts have adjusted their forecast, indicating a decrease in rapeseed exports from Romania for the 2024/25 marketing year. The rapeseed harvest in southern Romania is nearly complete, but hot weather has negatively impacted the quality of the unharvested crops.

“Rapeseed has been affected by the heat and lack of moisture observed in early April during the critical flowering period. The expected average yield (2.58 tons/ha) is lower than the five-year average (2.62 tons/ha),” experts noted.

Sunflower Export Forecast Remains Unchanged

Despite an official yield forecast decrease for sunflowers, the forecast for sunflower exports from Romania in the 2024/25 marketing year remains unchanged. The lower yield is balanced by an increase in sunflower planting areas, which have reached their highest levels since 2019. This expansion is driven by strong demand from local processors and exporters.

Current projections for Romania's sunflower production and exports are preliminary. Sunflowers are entering a critical flowering stage under intense heat and low soil moisture in southern and eastern Romania.

Global Market Impact

Global rapeseed prices continue to rise despite declining yields, reflecting broader challenges in maintaining supply levels amid fluctuating weather patterns. This trend underscores the volatility in agricultural markets and the impact of environmental factors on crop production.

Romania's latest forecasts for rapeseed and sunflower exports highlight the ongoing challenges posed by weather conditions. As the agricultural sector adapts to these changes, strategic planning and market responsiveness will be crucial for maintaining stability and meeting demand in the upcoming season.