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Anala Rajkot

Sep 12, 2024

Cumin Prices Expected to Rise - Is it a Bullish Trend Ahead for Indian Exporters?

Cumin Prices Expected to Rise - Is it a Bullish Trend Ahead for Indian Exporters?

Recent Price Trends in Cumin

Cumin, a staple spice in many cuisines, has improved in price over the past few days. This recent trend can be attributed to increasing purchases at lower price levels. Experts suggest that cumin prices could continue to rise, driven by the festive season and an expected surge in demand in India. For exporters, this is an important development to monitor closely as it impacts pricing strategies and potential profitability in the coming months. Cumin prices increased 3.5% in the past week. This improvement comes after a period of decline last month, primarily due to profit booking in the futures market. A Commodity Analyst noted that last month's price drop created a buying opportunity at lower levels. With demand rising, cumin prices are recovering. This trend may continue as the festive season nears.

Key Factors Driving the Bullish Trend

One of the primary drivers of the expected rise in cumin prices is the upcoming festive season. Demand for spices generally rises during this time, and cumin is no exception. Another critical factor influencing cumin prices is the limited availability of the spice among farmers. Analysts note that stockists currently hold most cumin stocks. Since the current market price is hovering around a stable range, stockists are likely to hold onto their supplies, expecting a price rise in the near future. This creates a bullish sentiment in the market as supply remains limited and demand is poised to increase. In addition to festive demand, cumin buyers have been actively purchasing at lower prices over the past few weeks, contributing to the recent price improvements. Another analyst says that the combination of increased buying activity and festive demand will likely push cumin prices higher in the coming days. 

Exporters Can Be Benefited! 

For cumin exporters, the rising prices present both opportunities and challenges. On one hand, higher prices could lead to increased profitability, especially for those holding existing stocks purchased at lower rates. Exporters can benefit from the price surge by selling their cumin at higher market prices in the near term. On the other hand, rising prices may pose a challenge for exporters who rely on purchasing cumin from local stockists or farmers. With stockists holding onto their supplies in anticipation of a price rise, exporters may face limited availability and higher acquisition costs. 
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