October 2024 Market Update: Demand Pushes Oilseed Prices Higher
Wheat: Volatile Prices Driven by Weather Conditions
Global wheat prices show slight volatility, with Euronext futures currently around 211.25 EUR/t. Weather challenges and production declines in Australia are tightening supply. Meanwhile, Ukrainian exports remain steady, with 13.3 million tonnes of grain exported since the season began, nearly 4 million tonnes of which is corn, marking a 17% increase over last year.Rapeseed: Price Stability Amid Limited Supply
Rapeseed prices show stable to slightly upward movement, with January-25 contracts last noted at 515.25 EUR/t. Reduced harvests in Ukraine and limited production in Canada and the EU are supporting the market. Ukraine's 2025 rapeseed harvest could fall by 20% due to reduced acreage and adverse weather.Corn: Strong Harvest and Export Growth Stabilize the Market
Corn prices on Euronext remain stable at 211.75 EUR/t. High demand and robust U.S. export sales – 3.6 million tonnes last week, mainly to Mexico – are supporting the market. A record corn crop of 4.9 million tonnes in Germany is also expected in 2024, marking a 5-year high.Soybeans: High Exports and Brazilian Forecast Boost Demand
Soybean prices in Chicago currently stand at 9.99 USD/bu or approximately 0.35 EUR/kg. U.S. exports to China have increased, with China as the main buyer. Brazil's exports, however, fell by 21.5% in October, while the USDA projects a 161-million-tonne crop for the coming season.Sugar: Stable Prices Despite Global Uncertainty
Sugar prices remain steady at around 0.46 EUR/kg. The market is supported by continued exports from Brazil and India, though weather-related uncertainties could cause short-term fluctuations.Sunflower Seeds: Declining Exports and Price Increase
Sunflower seed prices stand at 0.41 EUR/kg, supported by declining exports from Ukraine. Russia recently raised export tariffs on sunflower meal, further impacting international availability.Crude Oil: Volatile Prices Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Crude oil prices remain high and volatile at 0.72 EUR/Liter. Current market volatility is due to geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ production cuts. Another price increase could be expected, especially with the heating season approaching.Soybean Oil: High Demand Drives Prices Upward
Soybean oil is currently trading at 0.99 EUR/Liter, supported by strong demand from the U.S. and China. Rising production and biodiesel demand keep prices high, while U.S. stock levels are decreasing.Sunflower Oil: Price Increases Due to Production Declines
Sunflower oil currently trades at 1.22 EUR/Liter. Prices are supported by lower harvests in the Black Sea region and increased demand for edible oils in Europe. Russia's 2024 production of sunflower oil increased by 13% over last year, potentially stabilizing prices in the mid-term.Rapeseed Oil: Stable Prices With Increasing Demand
Rapeseed oil prices remain steady at 1.06 EUR/Liter. Rising demand and limited availability from Canada and the EU support the market. Slight price increases are possible if edible oil demand remains high and supply tightens further.These trends highlight a mix of stable and slightly rising prices, primarily driven by high demand and limited availability of oilseeds and related products.
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