News

Anala Rajkot

Nov 12, 2024

US Soybean Futures Fall Slightly, Corn and Wheat Edge Up

US Soybean Futures Fall Slightly, Corn and Wheat Edge Up

Over the weekend, US soybean futures experienced a slight dip, despite hitting a near one-month high the previous day. Market analysts point to a reduced rally in edible oil markets as a major factor in this decline. However, corn and wheat futures showed modest gains, with all three contracts ending the week on a positive note following turbulent trading tied to Donald Trump’s re-election as US president.

Soybean Market Sees Mixed Signals

Soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) closed down by 0.40%, at USD 10,21 3/4 per bushel, after briefly touching USD 10,28 the previous day. Even with this decline, soybean futures are set to close the week up 2.70%. CBOT soy oil futures had previously reached a four-month high, driven by robust export demand and expectations that President Trump may impose tariffs on certain US imports, potentially boosting demand for domestic oils. Speculative buying has also contributed to recent gains, as traders anticipate that US soybean sales may increase in the near term.

Corn and Wheat Futures See Small Gains

Corn futures rose by 0.10% to USD 4,27 3/4 per bushel on the CBOT, bringing the weekly gain to 3.10%. Wheat futures also improved slightly, up 0.20% to USD 5,72 1/2 per bushel, with a weekly gain of 0.70%. The USDA's recent report highlights that US soybeans and corn are enjoying solid export demand, supporting the current prices despite challenging weather forecasts.

The USDA further noted that improved weather conditions in key South American soybean producers like Argentina and Brazil have alleviated some concerns about global production shortages. The department anticipates a shift in US planting strategies for the upcoming marketing season, with farmers likely to increase corn plantings while reducing soybean and wheat plantings.

Weather and Crop Projections Influence Market

CBOT wheat futures saw some pressure from positive weather updates, with Maxar Weather Services predicting rainfall in key US growing regions that could enhance wheat crop yields. Additional rain is expected, which could further support wheat production and stabilize prices in the coming weeks.

Conclusion:

As US soybean futures react to mixed signals from export demand and weather conditions in major growing regions, traders should prepare for continued price fluctuations. While the edible oil market may temporarily impact prices, strong export demand and shifting planting trends could support the soybean market in the longer term. For those in the agricultural sector, monitoring planting and weather trends, especially in South America, will be crucial as the market heads into the next season.





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