India's Wheat Production Expected to Reach 110 million tonnes (mt) in 2024-25

India's wheat production is projected to reach 110 million tonnes (mt) during the 2024-25 crop year. It is reflecting an 8.2% increase compared to the previous year. This growth is attributed to an increase in sown acreage and the adoption of climate-resilient wheat varieties. The first industry estimate, presented by Agriwatch at the Roller Flour Millers Federation of India (RFMFI) conclave in Goa, provides a cautiously optimistic outlook for this season's wheat crop.

Higher Acreage and Improved Yields Drive Production Growth

A significant factor contributing to the increased wheat production is the rise in the sown area, which expanded from 312 lakh hectares (lh) last year to nearly 328 lh this year. According to Agriwatch, wheat yield has also improved by 2%. Supporting the expected production gains. These projections align closely with the Ministry of Agriculture’s 2024 estimate of 113.29 mt, reinforcing confidence in a strong harvest.

Mixed Impact of Weather on Wheat Yield

Weather conditions have had a mixed effect on the wheat crop this year. While beneficial rainfall from Western disturbances helped key wheat-growing regions. A recent hailstorm in Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh raised concerns about possible crop damage. However, the extensive use of climate-resilient wheat varieties is expected to mitigate these risks, helping maintain stable yields.

State-Wise Wheat Production Insights

• Uttar Pradesh: Despite a 0.4% reduction in sown area, the state remains the top wheat producer, with an estimated output of 32.05 mt, representing only a 0.6% decline.
• Madhya Pradesh: A 4.2% increase in acreage has boosted the state's production by over 8%, contributing significantly to national output.
• Other States: Rajasthan, Gujarat, and West Bengal are also anticipated to see substantial gains in wheat production, adding to the overall positive outlook for the wheat market.

What This Means for Wheat Market and Food Security

The optimistic production forecast could bring stability to wheat prices and strengthen food security initiatives. The emphasis on climate-resilient varieties not only enhances crop stability but also promotes sustainable agricultural practices. This strategy is crucial for managing future climate-related challenges effectively.

Conclusion: Strong Wheat Production Supports Market Stability

India’s projected wheat production of 110 mt in 2024-25 highlights the country's resilience in agricultural practices, especially with the adoption of climate-resilient crops. The increased output is likely to benefit both domestic supply and government welfare schemes. With a balanced approach to procurement and storage, this strong production can ensure market stability and reinforce India’s food security framework for the coming year.

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