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Uncertainty Looms Over Oilseed Markets โ€“ Trade Disruptions and Supply Adjustments Shake Confidence

Uncertainty Looms Over Oilseed Markets โ€“ Trade Disruptions and Supply Adjustments Shake Confidence

๐Ÿ“‰ Uncertainty Looms Over Oilseed Markets โ€“ Trade Disruptions and Supply Adjustments Shake Confidence

๐Ÿ“ Oilseed markets continue to struggle, caught between trade disputes and shifting supply dynamics. Rapeseed futures in Europe remain under pressure, while canola markets reflect ongoing disruptions in global trade flows. Meanwhile, soybeans show signs of resilience as South American harvests progress and global demand fluctuates.




๐Ÿ“Š 1. Market Overview: Futures Prices & Trends

๐ŸŒ CBoT (Chicago Board of Trade) โ€“ Soybeans & Products

๐Ÿ“‰ Euronext (MATIF) โ€“ Rapeseed Futures

๐Ÿ“Œ ICECA (Winnipeg) โ€“ Canola Futures




๐ŸŒ 2. Market Drivers & Influencing Factors

๐Ÿ“Œ Key Market Developments

  • Chinaโ€™s Trade Barriers Reshape Global Rapeseed and Canola Markets ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ“‰โ†’ New tariffs have led to supply shortages and rising demand for alternative sources.โ†’ Traders remain cautious as China seeks new suppliers in Russia, Ukraine, and India.
  • Soybean Markets React to Production Adjustments ๐ŸŒฑโ†’ Harvest forecasts continue to shift as South American supply increases.โ†’ Market sentiment remains divided over the long-term impact on global prices.
  • Escalating Trade Tensions Between the EU and the U.S. ๐ŸŒŽโ†’ Potential tariffs could disrupt existing trade flows and impact soybean supply chains.โ†’ The European feed industry warns of possible shortages if new tariffs take effect.





โ›… 3. 14-Day Weather Forecast

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท Argentina: Favorable Weather Supports Crop Outlook

๐Ÿ“ Current Conditions:โ†’ Moisture levels remain supportive for late-season growth.

๐Ÿ“† 14-Day Outlook:
  • ๐ŸŒก๏ธ Temperatures: Expected to remain stable.
  • ๐ŸŒง๏ธ Rainfall: Continued precipitation could improve conditions.
  • ๐Ÿšจ Impact: Could help stabilize supply expectations.





๐Ÿ”ฎ 4. Price Forecast for the Next 3 Days

๐Ÿ“‰ Rapeseed (Euronext)

  • Trend: Market sentiment remains cautious amid trade instability.
  • Resistance Level: โ‚ฌ480/t
  • Support Level: โ‚ฌ460/t
  • ๐Ÿ“Š Expected Range: โ‚ฌ465 โ€“ โ‚ฌ475/t

๐Ÿ“‰ Soybeans (CBoT)

  • Trend: Market reacting to shifting demand and potential supply bottlenecks.
  • Resistance Level: 1,025 ct/bu
  • Support Level: 1,000 ct/bu
  • ๐Ÿ“Š Expected Range: 1,005 โ€“ 1,015 ct/bu





๐Ÿ“‰ 5. Long-Term Market Data: Stocks & Production






๐Ÿ” 6. Key Takeaways & Recommendations

๐Ÿ“‰ Market Insights:
  • Rapeseed and canola markets remain vulnerable to trade restrictions and supply chain disruptions.
  • Soybeans are holding firm but remain exposed to shifting demand and South American export competition.
  • Uncertainty over tariffs and trade flows keeps volatility high.
๐Ÿ”ฎ Market remains in a state of flux โ€“ attention shifts to trade negotiations and upcoming policy decisions.
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