Kalonji Sees Modest Price Gain as Production Tightens

India’s kalonji (nigella seed) market has shown slight upward movement recently, driven by a combination of low carryover stocks and steady spot demand. Despite the beginning of new arrivals from Gujarat, prices have strengthened by USD 0,12–0,24 per kg across various markets.

In Neemuch Mandi (Madhya Pradesh), kalonji rose to USD 1,80–2,40 per kg, while in Delhi, rates reached USD 1,80–2,64 per kg, depending on quality. This short-term rise comes even as traders anticipate fresh arrivals to build momentum in April, which could create limited downside pressure in the near term.

Area Expansion and Production Estimates

Kalonji acreage in Gujarat has nearly doubled this season, boosting production in the state to an estimated 100,000–125,000 quintals. In contrast, sowing in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh has declined compared to last year. Combined output in these states is expected at 125,000–150,000 quintals.

Overall, total kalonji production for 2025 is estimated at 250,000–275,000 quintals, higher than the 225,000–250,000 quintals in 2024 but still well below the 375,000–400,000 quintals recorded in 2023.

Demand and Future Price Prospects

With annual demand—driven by both domestic use and exports—hovering around 350,000–375,000 bags, and total availability capped at around 300,000–320,000 bags, the market is expected to remain tight. The shortfall may lead to renewed upward pressure on prices after the initial harvest period, particularly in April and May, when pickle manufacturers ramp up procurement.

Kalonji Market Snapshot

While some short-term softening is expected due to increased arrivals, limited stocks and strong demand suggest that kalonji may firm up again in the second quarter of 2025.