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Michael

Apr 22, 2025

๐Ÿ“ˆ Sunflower Market Dynamics: Record Exports Amid Price Volatility

๐Ÿ“ˆ Sunflower Market Dynamics: Record Exports Amid Price Volatility

๐Ÿ“Š Market Overview: Sunflower Commodity Prices & Trends

Ukraine's sunflower market is experiencing a significant upturn in activity as sunflower oil exports surge to potentially record levels. However, this increase in export volume comes with a downsideโ€”prices are expected to face downward pressure due to global market volatility and an oversupply of sunflower seeds.

๐Ÿ“‰ Recent Price Movements

๐Ÿ“ˆ Key Market Drivers

  • Record oil exports from Ukraine.
  • Global market volatility and potential new U.S. tariffs.
  • Oversupply of sunflower seeds pushing prices down.

๐ŸŒค๏ธ Weather Outlook & Impact

Weather conditions in key sunflower growing regions like Ukraine are expected to remain stable, which may support ongoing harvesting activities but could also contribute to the existing oversupply.

๐Ÿ“Š Global Production & Stocks

Despite high processing volumes, the global sunflower market is grappling with an oversupply that is likely to keep prices subdued. This situation is exacerbated by robust exports and high production levels in other major producing countries.

๐Ÿ”ฎ Price Forecast & Trading Recommendations

  • Monitor price fluctuations closely and consider short selling on price spikes.
  • Buyers should negotiate for better rates given the oversupply.
  • Traders should keep an eye on geopolitical developments and weather forecasts that could affect market dynamics.

๐Ÿ“ˆ 3-Day Price Forecast

Prices are expected to fluctuate between USD 287 and USD 299 per ton, with potential short-lived rebounds offering opportunities for profit-taking.
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