📊 Sunflower Market Overview

U.S. farmers are set to significantly increase sunflower plantings in 2025, with intended acreage reaching 1.07 million, marking a 49% increase from last year's record lows. This expansion, driven by tight seed inventories, is particularly notable in North Dakota where oil-type sunflower acreage is expected to rise by 62% to 960,500 acres. Despite this, non-oil sunflower plantings are projected to decrease by 12%.

As of March 1, total sunflower seed stocks stood at 564 million pounds, a 52% decrease year-on-year, with oil-type seeds down 59% to 426 million pounds. However, non-oil stocks saw a 7% increase to 138 million pounds. This shift reflects a strategic move by farmers responding to market demands and inventory pressures.

New-crop prices remain competitive, and farmers benefit from a 2% price bonus for every 1% of oil content above 40%, enhancing potential returns. This makes sunflowers a compelling option for late-season planting.

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📈 Current Market Prices

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📉 Market Drivers

• Significant increase in planned acreage due to low inventories.
• Competitive pricing and bonus incentives for high oil content.
• Strategic late-season planting opportunities.

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⛅ Weather Outlook – Key Growing Regions

North Dakota, the primary growing region, expects mild weather conducive to planting. However, farmers must monitor the late June cutoff for insurance planting dates. The weather across other major sunflower growing areas remains stable, supporting timely sowing and potentially boosting yield prospects.

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🔮 Price Forecast – Next 3 Days

Prices are expected to remain stable with potential slight increases due to strong planting intentions and tight inventories. Key regions to watch include North Dakota and major ports in Ukraine and China.