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Karl Friedrich zu Melibokus

May 20, 2025

Sugar Market Slips Further โ€“ Traders Await Direction Below USD 490

Sugar Market Slips Further โ€“ Traders Await Direction Below USD 490

Sugar Market Slips Further โ€“ Traders Await Direction Below USD 490

On 19 May 2025, ICE Sugar No.5 futures closed slightly lower again, continuing the downward drift. The August 2025 contract lost 0.12% to USD 489.50/t (EUR 455.23/t). The market lacks clear momentum, while EU spot sales remain stalled and retail prices across Europe show no signs of adjustment.




๐Ÿ“Š ICE Sugar No.5 โ€“ Closing Summary (19.05.2025)

(Exchange rate: 1 USD = 0.93 EUR)




๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU Market Snapshot โ€“ Flat FCA Prices Persist

๐Ÿ“ FCA spot quotes remain unchanged at EUR 0.56โ€“0.59/kg.๐Ÿ“‰ No active export or industrial buying reported on Monday.๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช German refiners still quote above EUR 0.60/kg, but volume flows mostly through Poland and Benelux.๐ŸงŠ A few brokers report softening inquiries for Q3, but no meaningful forward volume.




๐Ÿ›๏ธ Retail Sugar Prices (1 kg, as of 19.05.2025)




๐Ÿ“Š Market Comparison Table




๐Ÿ”ฎ 3-Day Forecast (20โ€“22 May 2025)

๐Ÿ“Œ Outlook:Futures may drift sideways near current levels. No sign of trend reversal as volume thins and EU remains quiet.




๐Ÿงญ Conclusion & Strategy

๐Ÿ“‰ Sugar futures edge lower, lacking direction.๐Ÿ“ฆ Physical spot market remains disconnected.๐Ÿ›๏ธ Retail shelf prices steady; no pass-through.

๐Ÿ“Œ Recommendations:

  • ๐Ÿ›’ Buyers: Continue negotiating below EUR 0.57/kg.
  • ๐Ÿ“ฆ Sellers: Volume pricing may help secure Q3 deals.
  • ๐Ÿ“Š Traders: Flat market โ€“ wait for fresh volume signal or Brazil harvest update.
๐Ÿ“ Summary:Another quiet session in a market losing momentum. The EU remains frozen as global prices drift.
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