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Karl Friedrich zu Melibokus

May 20, 2025

Palm Oil Prices Rebound – Futures Post Strongest Daily Gain in Two Weeks

Palm Oil Prices Rebound – Futures Post Strongest Daily Gain in Two Weeks

Palm Oil Prices Rebound – Futures Post Strongest Daily Gain in Two Weeks

Malaysian palm oil futures surged on Tuesday, recording their largest daily gain in two weeks. Support came from a weaker ringgit, firmer rival oils, and improving technical signals.




πŸ“Š Market Situation & Price Development (MDEX, converted to EUR)

The August 2025 contract closed at 3,915 MYR/t, up 33 MYR or +0.84% on the day.Assuming a conversion rate of 5.00 MYR = 1 EUR, this equals approximately 783.00 EUR/t.




🌍 Key Market Drivers

  • Weaker Ringgit Boosts CompetitivenessThe Malaysian ringgit softened against the U.S. dollar, making palm oil cheaper for foreign buyers.
  • Soy Oil Stabilises After Sharp LossesAfter a volatile previous week, soy oil futures steadied, reducing pressure on the broader vegetable oil complex.
  • Technical Momentum BuildsAfter three consecutive weekly losses, technical indicators pointed to short-covering and bargain hunting.
  • Export Demand ImprovingTraders report steady shipments to India and Pakistan ahead of summer demand peaks.





πŸ’Ό Trading Strategy & Market Outlook

Palm oil has regained short-term support above 3,900 MYR/t. If soy oil continues to recover, more upside could follow.

Strategy:– Buy on dips above 3,880 MYR/t– Watch for confirmation above 3,930 for bullish extension– Exporters may price forward sales into August




πŸ“ˆ 3-Day Price Forecast (Aug 25 Contract – EUR/t)




🌦️ 14-Day Weather Outlook – Palm Oil Regions

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