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Karl Friedrich zu Melibokus

May 21, 2025

Sunflower Kernel Market Remains Stable – Buyers Cautious, Supply Plentiful

Sunflower Kernel Market Remains Stable – Buyers Cautious, Supply Plentiful

Sunflower Kernel Market Remains Stable – Buyers Cautious, Supply Plentiful

Despite volatility in the broader oilseed complex, prices for hulled sunflower seeds remained stable. Oversupply and cautious EU demand continue to define market dynamics.




📊 Market Situation & Price Development

Hulled sunflower kernel prices remained largely unchanged on Tuesday.
  • Ukraine (FCA): €1.05/kg
  • Bulgaria (FCA): €1.09/kg
  • Moldova/Ukraine EU border (with duty): €1.06/kg + customs
The spot market remains saturated, and bids are generally met with prompt offers from Eastern European processors.




🌍 Key Market Drivers

  • Oversupply PersistsMost major shippers in Ukraine and Moldova continue to offer full-volume contracts. EU processors are well stocked through mid-summer.
  • Low Spot Demand in the EUWith prices stable and margins tight, major buyers (Germany, Netherlands, France) are inactive, waiting for clarity in the broader oilseed market.
  • No Weather Threats in Eastern EuropeGrowing conditions in Ukraine and Bulgaria remain good. No early-season concerns for the 2025/26 crop.
  • Global Oilseed Pressure Eases SlightlyStabilisation in soy oil and palm oil markets could limit further downside for sunflower oil, and indirectly for kernels.





💼 Trading Strategy & Market Outlook

Market remains balanced but fragile. Spot activity remains low, and traders continue to work with short lead times.

Strategy:– Importers: Buy only as needed; no urgency for coverage– Exporters: Focus on existing positions; no new forward booking pressure– Monitor the oilseed complex for macro signals




📈 3-Day Price Forecast (Hulled Sunflower Kernels, FCA €/kg)




🌦️ 14-Day Weather Outlook – Sunflower Regions


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