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Karl Friedrich zu Melibokus

May 22, 2025

Sugar Futures Drift Lower โ€“ Market Pressure Builds Amid Silent EU Demand

Sugar Futures Drift Lower โ€“ Market Pressure Builds Amid Silent EU Demand

Sugar Futures Drift Lower โ€“ Market Pressure Builds Amid Silent EU Demand

On 20 May 2025, ICE Sugar No.5 futures extended their gradual decline. The August 2025 contract fell by 0.49% to USD 487.10/t (EUR 452.00/t). Despite stable technical levels, the market lacks clear direction. Meanwhile, EU spot trade remains stagnant, and retail prices show no reaction.




๐Ÿ“Š ICE Sugar No.5 โ€“ Closing Summary (20.05.2025)

(Exchange rate: 1 USD = 0.928 EUR)




๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU Market Snapshot โ€“ A Quiet Spot Market

๐Ÿ“ EU FCA spot prices remain unchanged at EUR 0.56โ€“0.59/kg.๐Ÿ“‰ No significant industrial purchases reported.๐Ÿ“ฆ German producers continue to defend EUR 0.60/kg but are undercut by Polish and Dutch competition.โš ๏ธ Many buyers reportedly delaying Q3 negotiations.




๐Ÿ›๏ธ Retail Sugar Prices (1 kg, verified 20.05.2025)




๐Ÿ“Š Price Comparison Table




๐Ÿ”ฎ 3-Day Forecast (21โ€“23 May 2025)

๐Ÿ“Œ Outlook:Soft tone may persist unless macro factors or buyer interest shift.




๐Ÿงญ Conclusion & Strategy

๐Ÿ“‰ Futures market drifts, volume modest.๐Ÿ“ฆ EU spot flat and unresponsive โ€“ risk of oversupply builds.๐Ÿ›๏ธ No retail reaction โ€“ stable margins for supermarkets.

๐Ÿ“Œ Recommendations:

  • ๐Ÿ›’ Buyers: Good time to negotiate forward contracts under EUR 0.57/kg.
  • ๐Ÿ“ฆ Sellers: Avoid pricing above market โ€“ competition remains high.
  • ๐Ÿ“Š Traders: Watch USD 482/t โ€“ short-term support holding for now.
๐Ÿ“ Summary:No new impulse in the sugar market. Buyers wait, sellers defend, futures erode quietly.
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