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May 22, 2025

Wheat Futures Climb – EU Crop Outlook and Ukraine Tensions Fuel Rally

Wheat Futures Climb – EU Crop Outlook and Ukraine Tensions Fuel Rally

Wheat Futures Climb – EU Crop Outlook and Ukraine Tensions Fuel Rally

Wheat markets surged on Wednesday, with futures rising in both Paris and London. Dry weather across parts of Europe, uncertainty in Ukraine, and technical momentum supported gains across maturities.






📈 Price Overview




🔍 Key Market Factors

  • 🇪🇺 Strategie Grains revised EU wheat crop down due to ongoing dryness in central and southeastern Europe

  • 🇺🇦 Uncertainty around Ukraine’s grain corridor and trade regime fuels supply-side tension

  • 🌎 Global wheat stocks are tightening, adding momentum to speculative buying

  • 📉 Technical breakout in ICE Feed Wheat confirms trend reversal






🌍 Regional Weather Update




📊 Strategy & Technical Outlook

  • 📈 Momentum and supply fears continue to support the rally

  • 🛡 Hedging advisable if prices test €225/t resistance (Dec Euronext)

  • 🔄 Volatility expected to persist until Ukraine’s trade status is clarified






🔮 3-Day Forecast (May 22–24)

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