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May 26, 2025

Sugar Prices Continue to Weaken โ€“ Market Lacks Support as EU Remains Silent

Sugar Prices Continue to Weaken โ€“ Market Lacks Support as EU Remains Silent

Sugar Prices Continue to Weaken โ€“ Market Lacks Support as EU Remains Silent

On 23 May 2025, ICE Sugar No. 5 futures continued their downward trend for the sixth session in a row. The August 2025 contract lost 0.93% to USD 483.60/t (EUR 449.75/t). Despite falling futures, EU spot prices remain unchanged, with limited market activity. Analysts warn that without weather shocks, no catalyst for reversal is in sight.




๐Ÿ“Š ICE Sugar No.5 โ€“ Closing Summary (23.05.2025)

(Exchange rate: 1 USD = 0.93 EUR)




๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU Market Snapshot โ€“ No Movement, No Momentum

๐Ÿ“ FCA spot prices remain static at EUR 0.56โ€“0.59/kg.๐Ÿ“ฆ No forward deals reported.๐Ÿ’ฌ Market observers call out unrealistic expectations for EUR 0.62+/kg for the new campaign.๐ŸŒฑ Only prolonged drought could shift the tone, but no such signal yet.




๐Ÿ›๏ธ Retail Sugar Prices (1 kg, verified 23.05.2025)




๐Ÿ“Š Price Comparison Table




๐Ÿ”ฎ 3-Day Forecast (24โ€“26 May 2025)

๐Ÿ“Œ Outlook:Without weather-related shocks, further softening is likely. Technical support is now eyed at USD 475/t.




๐Ÿงญ Conclusion & Strategy

๐Ÿ“‰ ICE Sugar continues to slide โ€“ no buyers, no bounce.๐Ÿ“ฆ EU producers resist lowering offers, but no deals close above EUR 0.59/kg.๐ŸŒพ Weather risk remains the only potential upside driver.

๐Ÿ“Œ Recommendations:

  • ๐Ÿ›’ Buyers: Remain cautious โ€“ prices are still trending down. Push below EUR 0.57/kg.
  • ๐Ÿ“ฆ Sellers: Lower expectations โ€“ volume is more important than price right now.
  • ๐Ÿ“Š Traders: Watch for bottoming near USD 475โ€“478/t.
๐Ÿ“ Summary:The sugar market is under pressure, and European supply chains are standing still. No catalyst, no change โ€“ only weather could shift sentiment.
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