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Karl Friedrich zu Melibokus

Jun 4, 2025

American Pecan Industry Report – April 2025 Snapshot

American Pecan Industry Report – April 2025 Snapshot

American Pecan Industry Report – April 2025 Snapshot

The U.S. pecan industry saw lower inventories and reduced shipments in April 2025 compared to April 2024. Export and domestic shipments of shelled meats were both down, while imports from Mexico remained significant. Total pecans in inventory declined sharply, with a net open position more than three times smaller than the previous year.




📊 Key Figures – April 2025 vs. April 2024






🌎 Trade Flow & Import/Export Highlights

🌐 Imports from Mexico

  • Inshell Pecans (YTD): 9.18 million lbs (vs. 14.58M lbs last year)
  • Shelled Meats Returned from Mexico: 2.45 million lbs (YTD)

🌍 Top Export Destinations (YTD, Sep–Apr 2025)

  • China: 47.99 million lbs (mostly inshell)
  • Canada: 4.43 million lbs (shelled)
  • United Kingdom: 1.93 million lbs
  • South Korea, Japan, Germany: Strong, consistent demand





📉 Market Dynamics

  • Pecans Received: 254.7 million lbs (↓ -21.6% YoY)
  • Shipments Slowed: Exports and domestic demand both declined
  • Net Open Position Shrinking: Indicates a tighter spot market supply





🔍 Industry Commentary

  • Supply Tightness is now visible with inventories and unshipped volumes dropping sharply.
  • Export dependency remains high on China and Mexico relationships.
  • The retail/Grocery segment is contracting, with lower YOY shipments.
  • Overall movement of pecans is down compared to the same period last year.





📅 Outlook

🔮 For Q3–Q4 2025:
  • Expect price firming, especially for quality halves and larger-size pieces.
  • Monitor Mexican import volumes, as any shortfall could impact shelled meat availability.
  • U.S. handlers should consider advance contracts, given tight inventory levels.





📢 Source: For full monthly data and trends, visit: americanpecan.com → Market Analytics.
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